The
Kansas City Chiefs (17-2) and the
Philadelphia Eagles (17-3) meet Sunday for Super Bowl LIX at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze
BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the
Chiefs vs. Eagles odds , and make our expert
NFL picks and predictions . The stage is set, the media blitz is over and it’s time to get down to brass tacks. A champion will be crowned Sunday night with either the Chiefs making history as the first team in the NFL to win 3 Super Bowls in a row, or the Eagles securing their second Lombardi Trophy in franchise history. The Chiefs won a wild 25-22 Super Bowl in Las Vegas last season in overtime against the San Francisco 49ers to win a second straight NFL title. Two seasons ago, the Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35 in Glendale, Ariz. Kansas City QB
Patrick Mahomes , just 29 years old, is already 3-1 in the big game. Eagles QB
Jalen Hurts , 26, is 0-1 in the Super Bowl. Eagles RB
Saquon Barkley , 27, will play in his first Super Bowl after spending his first 6 NFL seasons with the New York Giants. This season’s leading rusher (2,005 yards) enters LIX with 5 straight 100-yard rushing performances, including 3 in the postseason. It’s rare when Super Bowl gambling trends are relevant, but with Kansas City being here for the fifth time in the last 6 years, the statistics are applicable. The Chiefs are 3-1 straight up and 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 4 Super Bowl appearances. As a favorite, the Chiefs are 1-1 ATS in that span, while the Over-Under is 2-2 with the Over cashing in the past 2 contests.
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Provided by
BetMGM Sportsbook ; access
USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:28 p.m. ET.
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Chiefs vs. Eagles picks and predictions
Prediction
The Chiefs (-115) will be in a historic class of their own if they can finish off LIX with a win Sunday to become the first — and only — NFL team to win 3 consecutive Super Bowls. The past 2 SB victories were by 3 points each, including a victory over the 49ers last February which went to the final ticks of a first overtime. Because of the small spread for Sunday, betting the moneyline is a
PASS . Laying the 1½ points makes more sense, unless you feel Kansas City is going to only win by a single point.
TAKE CHIEFS -1.5 (-
105 ) laying the little bit of points rather than essentially buying the point and a half to bet the moneyline. There really isn’t any different between the 2 lines other than the fact that with the ML, you get a little protection in the event of a 1-point Kansas City victory. The Eagles (-105) would be the play on the moneyline, rather than catching the little bit of points, if you are leaning toward Philadelphia, by the way. One thing stands out and makes me nervous selecting the Chiefs, and that’s Barkley. He has been on a mission in these playoffs, running through defenses like a hot knife through butter. However, the Chiefs were eighth in the NFL during the regular season against the run, allowing just 101.8 yards per game (YPG). Behind Barkley, the Eagles averaged 179.3 rushing YPG, second only to the Baltimore Ravens’ 187.6 YPG.
UNDER 48.5 (-
105 ) is the lean as this is a very high number. Of course, we saw these teams demolish the total in Super Bowl LVII with a combined score of 73 points against an O/U line of 51. The Chiefs split the O/U in their 2 postseason games, while the Eagles hit the Over in their past 2 playoff outings after an Under result in a Wild Card win. It’s a big roll of the dice to go Under with such explosive players on the field. If you were to play a 6-point teaser with the Chiefs catching some points, and knocking the total to Over 42.5, nobody could blame you there, either.
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