The Chicago White Sox (17-36) visit the New York Mets (32-21) Monday for the first game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is at 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the White Sox vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

The White Sox have dropped 7 of their last 10 games but are coming off a home series win, taking 2 of 3 against the Texas Rangers. They lost the finale 5-4 Sunday after RP Jordan Leasure gave up 3 runs in the top of the ninth. C Edgar Quero had 3 hits in the loss.

The Mets have won 3 of their last 4 games after taking 2 of 3 at home against the LA Dodgers. They won the finale 3-1 Sunday, as SP Kodai Senga allowed 1 run over 5 1/3 innings and the bullpen followed with 3 2/3 scoreless frames. 1B Pete Alonso hit a 2-run homer -- his 10th of the season -- in the bottom of the first, providing all the offense New York needed.

White Sox at Mets projected starters



Houser (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his second start. He allowed 2 hits and 3 walks with 2 K's in 6 scoreless innings in his debut, a 1-0 home win over the Seattle Mariners Tuesday.

Holmes (5-3, 3.13 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 54 2/3 innings.

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White Sox at Mets odds



Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

White Sox at Mets picks and predictions



Prediction



Moneyline



The Mets' 19-6 home record is the best in the majors. Chicago's 5-21 road mark is the second-worst in all of baseball.

Houser was fantastic in his first start of the year, but Holmes has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 of his 10 starts this season.

Expecting a White Sox win doesn't make sense, and betting the Mets to win at -300 doesn't give you enough value to make sense.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread



The question is now whether you think it will be closer than 3 runs, as this game has a 2.5-run spread.

The White Sox' last 2 losses have been by only 1 run, but their previous 5 were by more than 2 runs.

Four of the Mets' last 6 wins have been by 1 or 2 runs, but 7 of their last 13 wins have been by 3 or more runs.

If Houser pitches similarly to how he fared in his first start of the year, this will be a close game.

BET WHITE SOX +2.5 (-135).

Over/Under



Eleven of the Mets' last 13 games have not reached 9 total runs.

Three of the last 4 games for the Sox have had 9 or more total runs, but 13 of their last 19 have had 8 or fewer.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-118).

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