The Arizona State Sun Devils face the Iowa State Cyclones in the Big 12 Championship game on Saturday, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 p.m. EST.

All week, questions swirled around the availability of Arizona State’s star wide receiver Jordyn Tyson after he suffered an injury during last Saturday’s win over Arizona. On Wednesday, head coach Kenny Dillingham confirmed that Tyson underwent surgery and will miss the remainder of the season, officially ruling him out for both the Big 12 title game and any potential playoff games.

“What makes it more difficult is that obviously he demands two people to cover him. So if people don’t have to demand two people, they can load the box. You got to find more creative ways to win those one-on-one matchups,” Dillingham said earlier this week.

Tyson’s absence leaves a significant void in the Sun Devils’ offense. The 6-foot-1 receiver leads the team with 1,101 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns this season, ranking among the top 10 in the FBS in both categories. His impact was especially felt late in the season, with 543 yards and five touchdowns in Arizona State’s final four regular-season games.

The question now is how Arizona State’s offense will adapt against a strong Iowa State defense. Xavier Guillory , the Sun Devils’ next-leading wide receiver with 291 yards and three touchdowns, will likely see an expanded role, while quarterback Sam Leavitt will need to find creative ways to keep the offense balanced.

Analysts and bettors alike have adjusted their expectations ahead of Saturday’s Big 12 Championship game between Arizona State and Iowa State. Following the confirmation that Jordyn Tyson will not play, Dimers ’ data analysts updated their game simulations and projections to reflect the Sun Devils’ restructured offensive approach. These simulations incorporate Tyson’s absence, accounting for its impact on Arizona State’s passing game and Iowa State’s defensive strategy.

Dimers’ updated predictions were then compared to current sportsbook odds, creating the data-driven preview of Iowa State vs. Arizona State outlined below.

Iowa State vs. Arizona State: Big 12 Championship preview

The Big 12 Championship game between Iowa State and Arizona State promises to be one of the most competitive matchups of the season. Set for Saturday, December 7, 2024, at AT&T Stadium, the game will kick off at 12:00 PM ET. With a spread of just -1.5 favoring Arizona State, oddsmakers and analysts alike are bracing for a tightly contested battle.

This preview includes Dimers’ best bets and predicted scoreline for ASU vs. ISU. Fans of both teams can unlock a variety of betting boosts for Saturday’s game with these betting deals from FanDuel , DraftKings , and Caesars Sportsbook , while Bet365′s extended Cyber Monday deal has emerged as the most popular college football Week 15 betting deal among local ASU and ISU fans in Arizona and Iowa.

Matchup details

Betting odds and predictions

The betting line has Arizona State favored at -1.5, with the total set at 50.5. Moneyline odds also reflect the game’s closeness, with Iowa State at +100 and Arizona State at -115.

Dimers.com ’s predictive model, based on 10,000 simulations, projects a win probability of 52% for Iowa State and 48% for Arizona State , underscoring just how evenly matched these teams are.

Projected final score

Dimers’ simulations predict an average final score of Iowa State 26–26 Arizona State , emphasizing how little separates the two programs heading into Saturday’s game.

Key storylines

Arizona State faces the challenge of competing without star wide receiver Jordyn Tyson, whose absence leaves a significant gap in their offense. The Sun Devils will look to quarterback Sam Leavitt and a deeper rotation of wide receivers to fill the void. Meanwhile, Iowa State brings a balanced, well-coached team looking to exploit every opportunity against an Arizona State squad adapting to life without one of its key playmakers.

With a potential College Football Playoff berth on the line, Saturday’s showdown offers high stakes, narrow margins, and all the drama fans could hope for in a conference title game.