KANSAS CITY, Mo. (KCTV) - A First Warn is in place as our thunderstorm chances increase late Saturday evening and into the overnight. This is as our next cold front slices through the region. Coverage looks to be very isolated to begin with and should grow into a line as storms tap into better ingredients. Right now, it looks like cells could begin forming after 6 PM in our western communities, then push into the Kansas City area/state line after 8 PM. We currently sit in a level 1/5 risk for severe weather in the KC metro, with a level 2/5 risk mainly south of interstate 70. This zone is where we have a better chance for cells to be severe with gusty winds and hail, however, we can’t rule out a few stronger storms for all of us. The tornado risk is low but not zero.

The cold front begins to push through closer to midnight, and you will notice that the winds switch out of the northwest and temperatures quickly start dropping. Once the cold front clears your area, the severe thunderstorm threat drops off significantly.

The initial line of storms looks to be pretty thin but noisy. If you have outdoor plans late this evening, please be prepared to shelter indoors as they pass. Once that initial line passes, our computer models are indicating a larger complex of rain and thunderstorms into the early overnight. The rain chance will spike again after midnight through about 5 AM. While there is a risk for a few of those storms to be stronger, the heightened risk for severe thunderstorms will be across southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri. Those of you in Anderson, Linn, Bates and Henry counties have the better chance for a stronger cell in that time frame, with the rest of us likely experiencing rain and lightning.

A few more batches of showers are looking possible on Sunday. With the temperatures dropping and our ingredients gone, the severe threat is nonexistent during the day. You will notice that temperatures struggle to rebound to 50 degrees in the afternoon. With the persistent wind out of the northwest, it will be a chilly day. A few more light showers are possible midday and early afternoon, but it does not appear to be a washout by any means.

We will keep cooler air on Monday, but we will be dry. The highs are in the 50s. We begin to warm back up on Tuesday as winds switch back out of the south. This brings more moisture back to the region as well. It also brings our next First Warn. With another cold front on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, storm chances will return. Right now, there is a risk for severe weather here in eastern Kansas and western Missouri, and we will monitor the situation as we get closer. Tuesday is mainly dry until late evening storm risk. First Warn is also on Wednesday for morning leftover rain and storms.

This looks to be a rather wet weather pattern with multiple chances for rain this next week. It looks very scattered, but Tuesday through next Saturday could have rain at some point of each of those days. Temperatures will be springlike in the 60s!