Florida's capital city could be in line for a historic and thrilling snow day or a harrowing ice storm as a freak winter storm slides across the Gulf Coast.

Forecasters say the Tallahassee could see as much as 2 to 3 inches of snow or a quarter inch of ice , which could down powerlines and cripple city infrastructure.

There's still plenty of time for the forecast to shift, and Tallahassee itself is in a precarious position as a kind of dividing line between where snow and freezing rain are supposed to fall.

Here are the latest updates from the path of a storm that could make for a historic winter day in Florida.

Winter storm dumping snow in Pensacola



With snow falling already in Pensacola, a freak winter storm bearing down on North Florida is only a few hours away from Tallahassee.

“It’s SNOWING in Florida HD1!” state Rep. Michelle Salzman, R-Pensacola, tweeted, adding video of fairly heavy snowfall outside her window. “Queen of the North has never been more suited.”

Wright Dobbs, meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Tallahassee, said snow and/or sleet will begin moving into the Tallahassee area perhaps around 3 or 4 p.m.

“And then generally as we get into the evening hours, especially after sundown, that’s when we’ll start to see the snow rates start to tick up,” Dobbs said.

He said the heaviest precipitation — and the threat of freezing rain — could arrive in the Capital City between 9 p.m. tonight and 3 a.m. Wednesday.

Gov. DeSantis to hold briefing on coming winter storm



Gov. Ron DeSantis will be holding a briefing at 11 a.m. to update residents and media about the historic winter storm that is expected to bring inches of snow and the threat of icy dangerous conditions across the Florida Gulf Coast.

DeSantis has already declared a state of emergency that allows for the mobilization of the National Guard and State Guard. Watch the briefing here when it starts.

TLH Airport seeing delays, City Hall to close early



The city of Tallahassee said this morning that while Tallahassee International Airport remains “open and fully operational,” there have been multiple flight cancellations and that more are expected.

“If airport field conditions deteriorate and conditions warrant, operations may be suspended until it is safe to resume operations,” the city said in a news release. “Travelers are advised to check their flight status with their airline.”

The city also announced that administrative offices will close at 3 p.m. today, a move that comes after forecasters upped the arrival time of the winter storm to early afternoon. Also closing at that time are community centers, the senior center, athletics and gymnastics programs and the Animal Service Center.

StarMetro will suspend operations at 3 p.m. City pools are closed through Thursday.

“As winter weather conditions intensify, the City of Tallahassee is prepared to respond to impacts from freezing rain, snow and extremely cold temperatures. City crews stand ready to respond as swiftly as safely possible should service issues arise,” the city said.

Forecasters warn that some places could get 6+ inches of snow and more ice than expected



Forecasters with the National Weather Service in Tallahassee warned that as much as a half foot of snow and more ice than previously forecast could fall on the North Florida area.

In their Tuesday morning discussion, they noted that 2 to 4 inches of snow was possible across the Florida Panhandle, southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia, with lower amounts elsewhere, and between a tenth and a quarter of an inch of ice possible across the Big Bend and south central Georgia.

The Weather Service said models suggested more snow or ice could could develop through “frontogenesis,” a process in which fronts can form or intensify when two different air masses collide.

“There is a low to medium chance (20-40%) that a band (or bands) of heavier precipitation sets up somewhere over the area,” wrote meteorologist Molly Merrifield. “Wherever that occurs could really enhance precipitation rates and lead to more accumulation than expected.”

Merrifield said she would not be surprised if 6-plus inches of snow fell in areas forecast to get more snow than ice, which is generally to the north and west of Tallahassee.

“If it occurs over the sleet/freezing rain area (particularly the FL Big Bend and south central GA), significant and impactful ice accumulation will be possible.”

Latest forecast calls for more Tallahassee snow – and sooner



Today is the day and flakes may begin flying in Tallahassee as early as 1 p.m., according to a revised forecast by the National Weather Service on what may be a winter storm of the centuries sweeping across the Gulf Coast.

Once again, meteorologists revised the forecast to bring impacts from what's expected to be a wintry mix of rain, snow, sleet and freezing rain to the area sooner. They also added an inch of snow to what may shatter the city's all time snow record set in 1958.

The Tallahassee area is now set to see 2-3 inches of snow or sleet through the afternoon Tuesday and into Wednesday morning. They noted even more snow could fall if southward model shifts continue and colder air remains aloft. Models have been bullish on this storm for days with some predicting as much as 6 inches of snow.

"Precipitation will likely start out as predominantly snow or rain in the afternoon, but as warmer air aloft begins to move in late Tuesday this afternoon into this evening and cold air at the surface continues to filter in, this is when other forms of mixed wintry precipitation (sleet and freezing rain) will begin to develop," forecasters wrote.

Much of the area could also see a more dangerous .01 to .1 inches of freezing rain with southern Leon County possible seeing up to a quarter inch. Forecasters are quick to warn that even a slight shift could bring more ice accumulation, which could lead to hazardous roads longer and fallen trees and powerlines weighed down by ice.

"Freezing rain continues to remain the primary concern for this event given the potential damage it can do to trees, powerlines, and icy conditions along area roadways," forecasters wrote. "However, accumulating snow on roadways and icy conditions from any snowpack will also cause hazardous travel conditions."

And come Wednesday, residents may awake to a winter wonderland – one that forecasters suggest you experience from home.

"Expect most precipitation to clear out before sunrise Wednesday morning, but with temperatures likely below freezing, and icy conditions on roadways likely, travel will likely be very hazardous," forecasters write. "Road closures are possible and travel is NOT recommended."

Will the winter storm be one for the record books?



2.8 inches is the the number to beat. The most snow recorded in a 24-hour period was from Feb. 12-13, 1958.

On that fateful day, locals were able to have snowball fights and sled down the many hills that make up Florida’s capital city.

The officials forecast has Tallahassee getting as much as 2 to 3 inches, but models have been far more bullish regularly suggesting between 3 and 6 inches.

Snolepocalypse or Tallahassleet? Join the livestreamed WeatherTiger winter storm forecast at 1 p.m.



North Florida is hours away from the start of what has the potential to be one of the most impactful winter storms in Gulf Coast history.

"This is going to be a historic storm any way you slice the cake, but the worst impacts will be if the majority of precipitation falls as a freezing rain that ices over surfaces like roads, powerlines, and trees that have been repeatedly pulled this way and that in the past decade by hurricanes, tornadoes, and severe thunderstorms," WeatherTiger meteorologist Ryan Truchelut wrote in his Monday afternoon forecast for the USA TODAY NETWORK.

"If the precip can manage to stay snow more of the time, the potential for 1-3” snow totals (or more? Am I really typing this???) is there – particularly closer to the Apalachicola River or Florida-Georgia line."

Read his full forecast here and check back here at 1 p.m. for a livestreamed video forecast.

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