A fast-moving wildfire that tore through 13,000 acres in New Jersey this week may be more than just a local emergency - it could be a grim glimpse into what lies ahead for the US in 2025. Meteorologists have forecasted as many as 75,000 wildfires nationwide, nearly 10,000 more than last year. The team at AccuWeather has released a new map which forecasts that 33 states will face heightened risks of drought and wildfires this fall. California , which was ravaged by wildfires in January, could see up to 1.5 million acres of land burn this year. The highest risk for severe wildfires this spring is projected across the South, with parts of Texas , Oklahoma , New Mexico , Colorado , Utah , and Arizona falling into the 'very high' to 'extreme' danger zones. There's also a 'very high' level of risk along the East Coast, including Florida , Georgia, the Carolinas, Virginia , and New Jersey. The other states in the danger zone include Alabama, Arkansas , Delaware, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, North Dakota, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Tennessee, Washington, and Wyoming. In 2025, the entire US could see anywhere between seven and nine million acres burn, far more than the average from the last two decades. 'We've seen fires reported across 20 states that have already burned nearly one million acres so far this year,' said AccuWeather lead long-range forecasting expert Paul Pastelok. Despite a string of winter and early spring storms rolling through the Northeast, the region has actually been going through a record dry spell dating back to September 2024. The last time states like New York and New Jersey had so little rain during this part of the year was 1978, according to the Associated Press. Tim Eustance, executive director of the North Jersey District Water Supply Commission, warned in November that the months-long drought could eventually lead to this week's dire events. 'This is the canary in the coal mine for the future,' Eustance told the AP . 'People should stop watering their lawns yesterday.' Droughts coming out of winter are one of the main problems fueling these early-year wildfires, AccuWeather explained. 'Roughly half of the country is dealing with abnormally dry or drought conditions right now,' Pastelok said. 'Nearly nine percent of the nation is in an extreme or exceptional drought, significantly higher than at this time last year. This is a concerning situation,' the forecaster continued. He added that 'dry thunderstorms' - where there's lightning but little rain - could also set high-risk areas throughout the US ablaze this spring. To prevent a drought from turning into a wildfire disaster, the expert advised that anyone with dried-up leaves or downed tree branches around their homes should clear them out right away. Downed trees in North Carolina following Hurricane Helene have been a major source of recent wildfires, which broke out in March, as locals are still working to clear out debris from the 2024 storm. While many states will either steer clear or only face a moderate risk of wildfires in 2025, that doesn't mean they're safe from these natural disasters. The AccuWeather team noted that smoke from wildfires has the ability to affect millions of people thousands of miles from the actual blaze. In recent years, wind has taken the smoke from fires burning in California, the Pacific Northwest, and Canada and sent it more than 2,000 miles away - impacting the respiratory health of people in cities like New York City, Philadelphia, and Boston. While rain will keep fire risk low in the Plains and along the West Coast this spring, Pastelok warned that summer is the time of year where grass, brush, and other sources of vegetation easily dry out and become matchsticks for wildfires. 'While the season may start slowly, there is strong potential for rapid escalation as drought conditions and heat set in,' he warned. In drought-stricken areas like the southern Plains and Southwest, carefully managing the plants around your home and conserving water are essential in preventing wildfires from igniting. These steps tackle two major problems that make fires start and grow quickly: first, they stop plants from becoming dry and easy to burn, and second, they ensure there's enough water to keep things moist even when there's a drought. The shift in the weather heading into June and July will significantly increase the danger for massive fires in Northwest, Northern Rockies, Southwest, and South Central states. Even the heavy rains from the annual monsoon season in California, Arizona, Utah, Colorado, and New Mexico act like a 'double-edged sword,' according to AccuWeather.
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