But while Cashman can certainly take a bow for putting together a legitimate championship-contending team after the defection of Soto, another major factor in the Yankees’ 2025 supremacy that cannot be ignored is the disappearance of the rest of the American League East, all of whom have been under .500 most of the first two months. Of them, the Red Sox and Blue Jays would seem to have enough talent to eventually make a run at a postseason berth, but the real American League East quandary is what in the world happened to the Baltimore Orioles, who two years ago appeared on the verge of dominating the division for many seasons to come?Indeed, that was what billionaire private equity mogul David Rubenstein must have thought when he bought the Orioles from the Angelos family in March of 2024 for $1.725 billion – the third-highest price ever for a baseball team. They had just come off a 101-win season in which their GM Mike Elias was voted major league executive of the year by his peers and their manager Brandon Hyde was named manager of the year by the Baseball Writers Association. But it was all a mirage and, as Rubenstein is hopefully finding out, Elias, who operates almost exclusively on analytics, is a fraud.Hired as Orioles GM in December 2018 after serving as the top assistant with the Astros for now-disgraced Jeff Luhnow, who was generally regarded in baseball circles as the grand patriarch of analytics, Elias wasted no time in firing all the Orioles’ scouts and player development managers and coaches and replacing them with analytics geeks and personnel with mostly no major league experience. He then followed same formula as Luhnow did in Houston by subjecting Baltimore fans to four years of tanking in order to secure a bunch of high picks in the amateur draft.The problem was, with the exception of catcher Adley Rutschman (who has since regressed mightily) the core players on that ’23 Oriole team – outfielders Cedric Mullins, Anthony Santander, and Austin Hays, first baseman Ryan Montcastle, righthanded starter Grayson Rodriguez and closer Felix Bautista – were all products of the previous Oriole GM Dan Duquette. Meanwhile, two years later not one of Elias’s No. 1 draft picks – all out of college — is looking like a potential superstar. Most are looking like busts. Rutschman (.213) who Elias selected No. 1 overall over Bobby Witt Jr. in 2019), outfielder Heston Kjersted (.203), the second overall pick in 2020), and infielder Jordan Westburg (.217), the 30th overall pick in 2020, are all underperforming. The jury is still out on outfielder Colton Cowser , the fifth overall pick in 2021 who’s been hurt this season after hitting 24 homers (but striking out 172 times) last year, and second baseman Jackson Holiday, the overall No. 1 pick in 2022, who struggled mightily as a rookie in ’24 but is holding his own at .268 with 6 HR as of Friday) this year. Another one, previously highly touted infielder Coby Mayo, a fourth round pick in 2020, was held out of numerous trade opportunities for frontline starting pitching by Elias, is hitting .215 at Triple A and may have been ruined.As documented in my new book “Yankees, Typewriters, Scandals and Cooperstown” (Triumph), when Elias took over he had a meeting with all his scouts in preparation for the 2019 draft in which he and his top assistant Sig Mejdal informed them that they need not concern themselves with scouting pitchers. “We have our own formula with pitchers,” they told the scouts without revealing what it was.Whatever it was, Elias has not drafted or developed a single quality major league starting pitcher in his seven years on the job, and after losing last year’s ace Corbin Burnes (who was acquired in a trade) to free agency, the Oriole rotation has only one starter with an ERA under 5.00 (35-year old Japanese import Tomoyuki Sugano) and the overall staff ranks 28th in the majors with a 5.45 ERA.It was hoped by Orioles fans that, after years of incompetence and penuriousness by the Angeloses, Rubenstein would spend money to keep the team competitive with the Yankees, Red Sox and Blue Jays. But that didn’t happen last winter when they did nothing to replace Burnes. Was it Elias who told Rubenstein he didn’t have to spend money to improve the team?With the Orioles mired in last place, last Saturday Elias fired Hyde (after undermining him over the winter by firing most of his more experienced coaches) and replaced him on an interim basis with Doug Mansolino, another career minor leaguer who managed briefly in the minors in 1991 and 1997. He then disappeared for three days before finally addressing the media on the road in Milwaukee last Tuesday.By now, Rubenstein should be seeing the light at what’s wrong with his new baseball team and that’s his general manager who’s proliferated the organization with analytical baseball neophytes. It’s now clear that Elias has done a terrible job of drafting, a terrible job of roster management and a terrible job of developing pitchers. Firing Hyde gave Elias cover, but if he wants to right this ship before it’s too late (which it may already be), Rubenstein needs to change course and bring in experienced baseball people who believe in the principles of scouting over metrics to run his team.He might even start by dialing up Buck Showalter, who’s still immensely popular in Baltimore after eight mostly successful and overachieving years as Orioles manager. Another one is former Dodgers GM Ned Colletti, who made the playoffs in five of his nine seasons as Dodger GM from 2006-14 and was in the finals for the Oriole GM job before the Angeloses opted for Elias back in 2018.
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