NOAA has its U.S. Winter Weather Outlook, and the DMV is in an average to below average precipitation, and above average temperatures.For those of us living in the D.C., Maryland, and Virginia (DMV) area who are wondering whether we will be having a wet and above-average temperature for winter months (Dec. to Feb.), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has published its October report on exactly that. Here's the winter weather outlook: The DMV area will range at least 33 percent drier than average, so slightly less chances of seeing accumulating snow. That being said, there are factors that could change things like "La Nina," which "has a 55- to 65-percent chance of developing before winter sets in." So, "La Nina", the Arctic Oscillation and the Madden-Julian Oscillation could change these outlooks. The Madden-Julian Oscillation, as NOAA notes, "can affect the number of heavy rain events along the West Coast," is not as relevant for those of us living in the DMV. [caption id="attachment_4088" align="aligncenter" width="721"] Graphic of U.S. Winter Outlook, Temperatures. Courtesy of NOAA.gov[/caption]
For projected precipitation ranges, the DMV area will range from 33 percent wetter than average in the Western part of Maryland, to 33 percent drier in the Eastern portion of Maryland (West of the Chesapeake Bay). According to NOAA's website, "NOAA’s seasonal outlooks give the likelihood that temperature and precipitation will be above-, near, or below-average, and also how drought is expected to change, but do not project seasonal snowfall accumulations." Whether it be "equal chances" or not, Washington D.C. looks like it has a medium range of precipitation and temperature for this Winter (as of this point). [caption id="attachment_4089" align="aligncenter" width="723"] Image of U.S. Winter Outlook, Precipitation. Courtesy of NOAA.gov[/caption] However, these projections could change based on a new update provided by NOAA on November 16. What do you think? Will the NOAA projections end up being close in its predictions, or will La Nina send us into snow shoveling mode come winter? Leave a comment about it below.