Following Rory McIlroy’s win at Pebble Beach on Sunday, the PGA Tour heads to Arizona for the 2025 WM Phoenix Open – a full-field event led by world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler . The party begins on Thursday morning from TPC Scottsdale in Arizona.

Below, we look at WM Phoenix Open odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions .

Scheffler will tee it up for the second consecutive week after finishing T-9 in his season debut at Pebble Beach. He’s the heavy favorite again with pre-tournament odds of +275. Justin Thomas (+1400), Hideki Matsuyama (+1600) and Sungjae Im (+2200) are also in the field, as is defending champion Nick Taylor (+5000).

The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale is a par 71 and plays at 7,261 yards, featuring plenty of risk-reward holes that test a player’s aggressiveness throughout the round. Designed by Jay Morrish and Tom Weiskopf, it opened in 1986. The winning score has been between 14-under and 28-under each year since 2010, with Taylor winning at 21-under a year ago.

WM Phoenix Open – Expert pick(s)

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:38 p.m. ET.

Tom Kim (+2800)

He might play slow, but Kim is playing well right now, coming off a T-7 at Pebble Beach where he was squarely in contention on Sunday. Despite struggling with his approach shots (35th in SG: approach), he ranked ninth in SG: tee-to-green and ninth in putting, so he put together a strong week. He now heads to Scottsdale where he finished 17th last year.

Hideki Matsuyama (+1600)

Matsuyama won this event in back-to-back years in 2016 and 2017, but those weren’t his only strong finishes in Scottsdale. Excluding a WD in 2018, he has finished 29th or better in 7 of 8 starts in this event since 2016, including 3 top-10 finishes and 5 top 25s. He already won The Sentry this year and could make it 2 early victories in 2025 this week.

WM Phoenix Open picks – Contender(s)

Sahith Theegala (+4500)

Theegala came heartbreakingly close to winning this event in his debut in 2022, finishing third that year. He followed it up with a 39th-place finish in 2023 and a fifth-place showing last year, so his track record at the Stadium Course is excellent. This is the perfect venue for him to get back on track, using the energy from the crowd to get going after 4 straight finishes outside the top 30.

Si Woo Kim (+5500)

Kim surged on Sunday at Pebble Beach with a final-round 67 to finish 12th, bouncing back from a missed cut at Torrey Pines. Though he struggled at TPC Scottsdale earlier in his career, he’s finished 26th, 23rd and 12th in 3 consecutive years here, so he’s beginning to figure it out.

WM Phoenix Open picks – Long shot(s)

Charley Hoffman (+8000)

Hoffman is known for his WM sponsorship so it should come as no surprise that he typically plays well here. He was the runner-up last year after coming in 14th in 2023, making the cut in 13 of his 18 trips here during his career. He just finished 25th at the Farmers Insurance Open after tying for fifth at PGA West in The American Express, going 3-for-3 in cuts made this year.

Adam Hadwin (+17500)

Hadwin’s odds are just too long to pass up at this number. He’s made the cut 8 times in the 10 times at the WM Phoenix Open, with 3 top-25 finishes. He finished 10th as recently as 2023 prior to missing the cut last year.

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