WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — The St. Louis Cardinals must address two questions before they break camp Sunday: Who is the starting center fielder, and who is in the starting rotation?Neither makes for an easy answer.The Cardinals are contemplating opening the season with a six-man rotation, manager Oli Marmol said Monday morning, though no decision is set. The club has finalized Sonny Gray as its Opening Day starter, and Erick Fedde and Miles Mikolas will slot in behind him to start the year, assuming the team stays on track with its current pitching schedule. Steven Matz, Andre Pallante, Matthew Liberatore and Michael McGreevy are candidates to round out the rotation, though whether that rotation includes two or three spots continues to be up in the air.“We’re discussing it a decent amount this morning,” Marmol said ahead of the Cardinals’ 6-2 exhibition win over the Washington Nationals. “We’ll finish the conversations by this afternoon. By the end of the day, we want real clarity as to what that looks like.”Performance will not be the sole factor in these decisions. If it were, McGreevy would have his case made. He’s allowed two earned runs over 11 and 2/3 innings in four appearances (three starts) with eight strikeouts and has thoroughly impressed Marmol and his staff.“He’s showed us a lot of the same (as last year), and I mean that in a really positive way,” Marmol said of McGreevy. “He’s very consistent in what he brings to the table and how he goes about it. His results show that he knows who he is, and he’s comfortable about it. I’ve been really pleased with what we’ve seen in this camp with him.”But a variety of other factors will be taken into consideration, including what’s best for the player and the team’s long-term outlook. The Cardinals know what they have in Steven Matz (who has looked strong this spring in terms of velocity, sustainability and execution) and value loading up their rotation with experience. Though the emphasis this spring was supposed to be on creating playing time for young players, the rotation has always seemed to be the exception — at least to start the year. The reason? St. Louis’ pitching depth is thin in Triple A, and the Cardinals believe Matz can help eat innings alongside Fedde and Mikolas — presuming he stays healthy. The rebuttal here is that Matz has suffered multiple injuries in all three of his seasons in St. Louis.An alternative to using Matz in the rotation would be to use him as a long man in relief, which the club has done before. All signs point to Pallante in the rotation to start the year. Given the fact he was the club’s best-performing pitcher in the second half of last season (his 3.47 ERA led all starters), he deserves the chance. However, Matthew Liberatore has arguably been the most impressive pitcher all spring. The Cardinals decided to stretch him out as a starter coming into the spring — even after he emerged as a standout long reliever last year — citing the aforementioned slim pitching depth. Liberatore has run with the opportunity, allowing two earned runs over 12 2/3 innings with seven strikeouts and just two walks.From a speculation standpoint: The club’s contemplation over a six-man rotation seems to hinge on how best to use Liberatore — whether that be as a starter or a reliever — and how to construct the remaining spots. The Cardinals are planning for Liberatore to be on the Opening Day roster, with president of baseball operations John Mozeliak already declaring as much earlier in the week. What is best for McGreevy’s future is also at play here. After toying with their top pitching prospects usages for years, it appears the Cardinals are set on ensuring McGreevy has a defined role this season.“Any time you make a decision on guys, a lot more goes into play than just performance,” Marmol said. “You have to weigh all of it to make sure you’re making the right decision for the player, the rest of the players involved and then for the long term of the organization.”The first two weeks of the schedule do not bode well for a six-man rotation. The Cardinals have three off days in their first 15 days of the season (March 28, April 3 and April 10), though extra rest to start the season isn’t a bad thing. The team must also consider its lack of major-league-ready options in the minor leagues. The Cardinals’ immediate depth took two hits when Zack Thompson (lat strain) and Drew Rom (shoulder soreness) went down with injuries early in camp. The team needs at least one starter in Triple A in case of injury, or else it risks exposing itself to the same situation it experienced in May: having only four starters for a considerable amount of time. That might seal McGreevy’s fate to open the season, regardless of his strong showing. A decision about a five- or six-man rotation is pending, but the choice itself is much more complex than it might appear.
CONTINUE READING